Model: TipA1

Club Atlético El Linqueño vs Gimnasia y Esgrima

PREDICTION

@ 3.40

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 13, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 3h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=305

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gimnasia y Esgrima. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Gimnasia y EsgrimaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.150 | A: 0.013

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

47/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.30First seen

Current3.40Now

Max odds3.40Highest point

Min odds3.30Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Club Atlético El LinqueñoHOME

Gimnasia y EsgrimaAWAY

DWWWL

Recent form

WLDWL

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.60

Shots on target for

3.60

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

Home splitW-W-D-W-L1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-D-D0.20 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.40. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.63% based on n=305 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Torneo A (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.40

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.63% · n=305

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Gimnasia y Esgrima is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -15.4% 7D: 13.4% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 11.1%

Model insight

Club Atlético El Linqueño – Gimnasia y Esgrima Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 305 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample20

Win Rate60.0%

Profit+20.80u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Santamarina Tandil - San Martin de Mendoza	3.25	2.63%
WIN	Braintree Town - Tonbridge Angels	3.40	2.63%
WIN	Thisted FC - FA 2000	3.60	2.63%
WIN	Huesca - UD Logrones	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	TP HCM (W) - Ha Noi (W)	3.60	2.63%
WIN	Mohammedan SC - Samaleswari SC	3.40	2.63%
WIN	SV Tillmitsch - SC Fürstenfeld	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	3.50	2.63%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Cavalry FC - Forge FC	2	3.30	2.63%	15 Aug 23:00

Pick

2 @ 3.40

Kickoff

Ago 13, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=305

Start

Starts in 1d 3h

Updated

Updated 6m ago