Model: TipA1

Odra Opole vs Warta Poznan

PREDICTION

@ 3.50

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 5:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 3h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=305

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.70% · n=112

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h 26m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Warta Poznan. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Warta PoznanGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.065 | A: 0.009

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.37First seen

Current3.50Now

Max odds3.50Highest point

Min odds3.37Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Odra OpoleHOME

Warta PoznanAWAY

LWLLL

Recent form

WLWLL

Avg goals scored

0.80

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.20

2.00

Shots on target for

3.00

5.80

SoT conceded pressure

6.80

3.60

Home splitL-L-L-L-D0.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-L-L2.00 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.50. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.70% based on n=112 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland I Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.50

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.63% · n=305

V4 BandHIGHROI 5.70% · n=112

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Warta Poznan shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Warta Poznan's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 9.5% 7D: 17.8% 15D: 12.2% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

Odra Opole – Warta Poznan Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 305 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.70% across 112 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample34

Win Rate47.1%

Profit+22.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Santamarina Tandil - San Martin de Mendoza	3.25	2.63%
WIN	Braintree Town - Tonbridge Angels	3.40	2.63%
WIN	Thisted FC - FA 2000	3.60	2.63%
WIN	Huesca - UD Logrones	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	TP HCM (W) - Ha Noi (W)	3.60	2.63%
WIN	Mohammedan SC - Samaleswari SC	3.40	2.63%
WIN	SV Tillmitsch - SC Fürstenfeld	3.50	2.63%
LOSS	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	3.50	2.63%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Club Atlético El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima	2	3.40	2.63%	13 Aug 01:30
Cavalry FC - Forge FC	2	3.30	2.63%	15 Aug 23:00

Pick

2 @ 3.50

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 5:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=305

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

5.70% • n=112

Start

Starts in 3d 3h

Updated

Updated 8h 26m ago