SC Freiburg – Crystal Palace

Model: TipA1

SC Freiburg vs Crystal Palace

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.35
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 22h
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 16m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Crystal Palace. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Crystal PalaceGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.095 | A: -0.147

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.35Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SC FreiburgHOME
VS
Crystal PalaceAWAY
WLWLW
Recent form
WWDLW
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
4.20
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
2.60
Home splitW-L-W-W-D2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-D-L0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.35
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 38.0% 7D: 12.6% 15D: 12.8% 30D: 11.8%
Model insight

SC Freiburg – Crystal Palace Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.36% and 6.36%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample67
Win Rate41.8%
Profit+1.11u
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WINPerolas Negras (W) - 3B Sport AM (W)2.257.37%
WINDenbigh Town - Bangor 1876 FC2.506.36%
LOSSBodens BK FF - Täfteå IK2.257.37%
WINJK Nomme United II - FC Levadia Tallinn U212.306.36%
LOSSFK Loko Praha - Dukla Praha B2.606.36%
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Pick
2 @ 2.35
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.36% • n=530
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.36% • n=530
Start
Starts in 2d 22h
Updated
Updated 1h 16m ago
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