Model: TipA1

Braintree Town vs Chesham

PREDICTION

@ 3.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 7h

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.52% · n=654

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.82% · n=246

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 28m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Chesham. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CheshamGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.167 | A: -0.130

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

52/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.10First seen

Current3.08Now

Max odds3.10Highest point

Min odds3.08Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Braintree TownHOME

CheshamAWAY

LLLLW

Recent form

LWLWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.00

Defensive weakness

2.60

1.60

Shots on target for

3.60

5.80

SoT conceded pressure

7.00

4.00

Home splitL-L-W-L-D1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-W-W2.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.82% based on n=246 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.00

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.52% · n=654

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.82% · n=246

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Chesham has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Chesham is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 10.0% 7D: 9.2% 15D: 13.5% 30D: 11.8%

Model insight

Braintree Town – Chesham Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.52% across 654 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.82% across 246 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample141

Win Rate34.0%

Profit-0.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Puskas Academy II - Komarom VSE	2.75	5.52%
LOSS	Lyn 1896 II - Fram	3.00	5.52%
LOSS	Debreceni VSC - Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	2.80	5.52%
LOSS	Szentlorinc SE - FC Nagykanizsa	2.75	5.52%
LOSS	Weston Super Mare - Chesham	3.10	5.52%
LOSS	Kings Lynn Town - Harborough Town	3.00	5.52%
LOSS	Estudiantes Merida - Zamora	3.10	5.52%
LOSS	Sandecja Nowy Sacz - Rekord Bielsko-Biala	3.10	5.52%

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Guabira - The Strongest	2	2.75	5.52%	15 Aug 23:15
OFK Malzenice - MSK Povazska Bystrica	2	3.10	5.52%	16 Aug 10:30
Valur Reykjavik - KA Akureyri	2	2.88	5.52%	16 Aug 21:15

Pick

2 @ 3.00

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.52% • n=654

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.82% • n=246

Start

Starts in 2d 7h

Updated

Updated 28m ago