Model: TipA1

Guabira vs The Strongest

PREDICTION

@ 2.75

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 1:15 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 23h

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.52% · n=654

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.82% · n=246

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is The Strongest. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: The StrongestGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.174 | A: -0.034

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

49/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.75First seen

Current2.75Now

Max odds2.76Highest point

Min odds2.75Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GuabiraHOME

The StrongestAWAY

WWDWL

Recent form

LWDDD

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.20

Shots on target for

3.60

6.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

3.20

Home splitW-W-W-W-L2.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-D-D-W-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.82% based on n=246 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bolivia Primera Division (bo). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.75

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.52% · n=654

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.82% · n=246

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. The Strongest has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -11.2% 7D: 4.1% 15D: 12.0% 30D: 10.5%

Model insight

Guabira – The Strongest Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.52% across 654 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.82% across 246 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample144

Win Rate36.1%

Profit-0.15u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Buxoro - AGMK	2.55	6.36%
WIN	Puskas Academy II - Komarom VSE	2.75	5.52%
WIN	Bamber Bridge - Avro FC	2.50	6.36%
LOSS	Lyn 1896 II - Fram	3.00	5.52%
LOSS	Debreceni VSC - Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	2.80	5.52%
LOSS	Szentlorinc SE - FC Nagykanizsa	2.75	5.52%
WIN	Denbigh Town - Bangor 1876 FC	2.50	6.36%
LOSS	FK Loko Praha - Dukla Praha B	2.60	6.36%

Active Similar Predictions

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Hestrafors IF - Qviding FIF	2	2.75	5.52%	14 Aug 18:30
Kremser SC - Parndorf	2	2.55	6.36%	14 Aug 19:30
Derby U21 - Hull U21	2	3.00	5.52%	14 Aug 20:00
Alfreton Town - Avro FC	2	2.50	6.36%	15 Aug 16:00
Horsham - Salisbury FC	2	2.90	5.52%	15 Aug 16:00
Braintree Town - Chesham	2	3.00	5.52%	15 Aug 16:00
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz - Vysocina Jihlava	2	2.75	5.52%	15 Aug 18:00

Pick

2 @ 2.75

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 1:15 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.52% • n=654

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.82% • n=246

Start

Starts in 1d 23h

Updated

Updated 12m ago