Derry City (W) – Linfield (W)

Model: TipTrombaGt15H

Derry City (W) vs Linfield (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 17.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 14, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 20h 2m ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.00% · n=15
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 22h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Derry City (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Derry City (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.176 | A: 0.143

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

69/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds23.00First seen
Current19.50Now
Max odds23.00Highest point
Min odds18.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Derry City (W)HOME
VS
Linfield (W)AWAY
LLLWW
Recent form
WLWWW
Avg goals scored
3.40
3.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.00
Shots on target for
5.80
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
4.00
Home splitL-L-L-W-W3.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-L-L4.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 17.00. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.00% based on n=15 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Northern Ireland Premier League Women (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd17.00
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.00% · n=15
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -27.9% 7D: -6.1% 15D: 10.5% 30D: 8.2%
Model insight

Derry City (W) – Linfield (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 17.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTrombaGt15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.00% across 15 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample3
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+14.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBavois - Servette17.006.00%
WINAdana Demirspor - Manisa BBSK17.006.73%
Pick
1 @ 17.00
Kickoff
Ago 14, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.00% • n=15
Start
Started 20h 2m ago
Updated
Updated 22h 11m ago
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