Bavois – Servette

Model: TipTrombaGt15H

Bavois vs Servette

PREDICTION
1
@ 15.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 7
StartStarted 1h 49m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.97% · n=11
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 14h 33m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bavois. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BavoisGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.098 | A: -0.046

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

61/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds21.00First seen
Current19.00Now
Max odds21.00Highest point
Min odds19.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BavoisHOME
VS
ServetteAWAY
DWWDW
Recent form
WLLWL
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.20
Shots on target for
6.40
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
2.80
Home splitD-W-W-W-W2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-D-W1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 15.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.97% based on n=11 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Cup (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd15.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.97% · n=11
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Bavois has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -9.2% 7D: -5.9% 15D: 11.9% 30D: 9.0%
Model insight

Bavois – Servette Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 15.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTrombaGt15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.97% across 11 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample1
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-1.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFK Ataka - FK Siauliai15.003.97%
Pick
1 @ 15.00
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.97% • n=11
Start
Started 1h 49m ago
Updated
Updated 14h 33m ago
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