Spakenburg – Katwijk

Model: TipA1

Spakenburg vs Katwijk

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 1d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.48% · n=403
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Katwijk. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KatwijkGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.001

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.18Now
Max odds3.18Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SpakenburgHOME
VS
KatwijkAWAY
WLWDW
Recent form
LLDWL
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.40
Shots on target for
6.40
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
7.60
5.60
Home splitW-W-W-W1.75 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.48% based on n=403 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Tweede Divisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.00
V2 BandLOWROI 0.48% · n=403
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -28.9% 7D: -11.8% 15D: 8.5% 30D: 7.2%
Model insight

Spakenburg – Katwijk Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.48% across 403 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample71
Win Rate31.0%
Profit-4.83u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSColumbus Crew II - New York City FC II3.100.48%
LOSSSanto Andre U20 - XV Piracicaba U202.900.48%
WINHavant and W - Uxbridge3.251.91%
LOSSPapai Perutz - 1908 SZAC Budapest3.200.48%
WINDorking Wanderers - Dag & Red2.880.48%
LOSSNK Maribor - FC Koper3.000.48%
LOSSLos Angeles FC - Chivas Guadalajara2.750.48%
WINMolde U19 - Rosenborg U193.100.48%
Pick
2 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.48% • n=403
Start
Started 1d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 6h ago
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