Model: TipA1

Santo Andre U20 vs XV Piracicaba U20

PREDICTION

@ 2.90

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 14, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 20h 18m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.48% · n=403

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is XV Piracicaba U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: XV Piracicaba U20Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.013 | A: 0.056

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.98First seen

Current2.94Now

Max odds2.98Highest point

Min odds2.94Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Santo Andre U20HOME

XV Piracicaba U20AWAY

DWLWD

Recent form

DWDDW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.40

Shots on target for

4.60

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

1.80

Home splitD-W-W-W-L1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-D-D-D-D0.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.90. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.48% based on n=403 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.90

V2 BandLOWROI 0.48% · n=403

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -17.6% 7D: 6.1% 15D: 12.1% 30D: 9.7%

Model insight

Santo Andre U20 – XV Piracicaba U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.90. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.48% across 403 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample67

Win Rate29.9%

Profit-8.93u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Spakenburg - Katwijk	3.00	0.48%
WIN	Dorking Wanderers - Dag & Red	2.88	0.48%
LOSS	NK Maribor - FC Koper	3.00	0.48%
LOSS	Los Angeles FC - Chivas Guadalajara	2.75	0.48%
LOSS	Dalian K'un City - Shaanxi Union	2.70	1.02%
WIN	Molde U19 - Rosenborg U19	3.10	0.48%
LOSS	Lugo - Celta Fortuna	2.70	1.02%
WIN	FC Tiszaujvaros - Ozd Sajovolgye	2.75	0.48%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Columbus Crew II - New York City FC II	2	3.10	0.48%	16 Aug 00:00

Pick

2 @ 2.90

Kickoff

Ago 14, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.48% • n=403

Start

Started 20h 18m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 7h ago