Eupen – Genk II

Model: TIPPSH

Eupen vs Genk II

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.76
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN4 - 1
StartStarted 9h 7m ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.18% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.18% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Eupen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: EupenGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.121 | A: 0.038

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

54/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.53First seen
Current1.76Now
Max odds1.81Highest point
Min odds1.52Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

EupenHOME
VS
Genk IIAWAY
WWWWW
Recent form
LLWDD
Avg goals scored
5.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.20
Shots on target for
9.60
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
3.20
Home splitW-W-W-D4.25 scored / 1.25 conceded
Away splitL-W-D2.00 scored / 2.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.76. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.18% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Belgium First Division B (be). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.76
V2 BandELITEROI 9.18% · n=29
V4 BandELITEROI 9.18% · n=29
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Eupen a useful statistical edge. The ELITE confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Eupen has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -25.1% 7D: -16.3% 15D: 5.0% 30D: 5.8%
Model insight

Eupen – Genk II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.76. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.18% and 9.18%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample5
Win Rate40.0%
Profit-1.31u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSlavia Prague B - FK Pribram2.018.87%
LOSSVaengir Jupiters - Ellidi1.968.87%
WINPortuguesa Desportos - Marcilio Dias1.798.87%
WINFerroviaria SP - Barra FC1.908.87%
LOSSWales - Ghana1.958.87%
Pick
1 @ 1.76
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 9.18% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.18% • n=29
Start
Started 9h 7m ago
Updated
Updated 11h 9m ago
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