Model: TIPPSH

Tikves Kavadarci vs KF Shkendija Haracine

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 6:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 1d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tikves Kavadarci. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tikves KavadarciGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.184 | A: 0.134

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

51/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.20Now

Max odds2.20Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tikves KavadarciHOME

KF Shkendija HaracineAWAY

LWWWD

Recent form

WDLDW

Avg goals scored

3.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.40

Shots on target for

8.20

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

5.00

Home splitL-W-D-D-L1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-W-D1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to North Macedonia First League (mk). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.20

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Tikves Kavadarci is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -21.3% 7D: -16.7% 15D: 4.8% 30D: 4.8%

Model insight

Tikves Kavadarci – KF Shkendija Haracine Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample32

Win Rate40.6%

Profit-4.04u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Notodden - Brattvåg	2.22	6.72%
WIN	Barrancas FC U20 - Deportivo Paraguayo U20	2.16	6.72%
LOSS	VfB Stuttgart II - FC Viktoria Köln	2.09	6.72%
LOSS	Coleraine - Larne FC	2.21	6.72%
LOSS	Barnsley - Bromley	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Sabah - AGF Aarhus	2.00	6.72%
LOSS	Vysocina Jihlava - FK Pribram	2.01	6.72%
WIN	Sporting - Nottm Forest	2.05	6.72%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
LKS Lodz II - OKS Swit Skolwin	1	2.35	6.90%	08 May 17:00
Wadi Degla - ZED FC	1	2.14	6.72%	21 Aug 16:00

Pick

1 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 6:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Started 1d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 14h ago