York – Bristol Rovers

Model: TIPPSA

York vs Bristol Rovers

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.36
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 2
StartStarted 2d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=90
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bristol Rovers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bristol RoversGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.090 | A: 0.015

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

72/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.42First seen
Current3.36Now
Max odds3.50Highest point
Min odds3.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

YorkHOME
VS
Bristol RoversAWAY
WLLDL
Recent form
LLDDL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
2.60
1.80
Shots on target for
3.20
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
4.60
Home splitW-L-L-L-W1.40 scored / 2.40 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W-D2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.36. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=90 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England League 2 (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.36
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=90
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Bristol Rovers is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -22.9% 7D: -19.7% 15D: 1.3% 30D: 3.6%
Model insight

York – Bristol Rovers Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.36. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.77% across 237 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 9.91% across 90 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample51
Win Rate31.4%
Profit+2.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINDungannon Swifts Reserves - Linfield Reserves3.233.61%
LOSSNew Mexico United - Tulsa3.144.96%
LOSSBandirmaspor - Istanbulspor3.474.77%
LOSSKickers Offenbach - FC Astoria Walldorf3.304.77%
LOSSVitoria - Athletico Paranaense3.474.77%
WINJunior - Millonarios3.324.77%
LOSSLeamington - Yate Town3.503.84%
LOSSCD Trasandino de Los Andes - General Velásquez3.464.77%
Pick
2 @ 3.36
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.77% • n=237
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.91% • n=90
Start
Started 2d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 10h ago
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