Club Villa Mitre – CA Alvarado

Model: TIPPSA

Club Villa Mitre vs CA Alvarado

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.10
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2h 21m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.73% · n=54
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CA Alvarado. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CA AlvaradoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.025 | A: 0.178

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.69First seen
Current4.10Now
Max odds4.10Highest point
Min odds3.59Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Club Villa MitreHOME
VS
CA AlvaradoAWAY
LDWDW
Recent form
WWDWL
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.20
Shots on target for
4.40
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
1.80
Home splitD-W-W-D-D1.00 scored / 0.20 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-D-D0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.10. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.73% based on n=54 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Torneo A (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.10
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.73% · n=54
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, CA Alvarado shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -18.5% 7D: -17.9% 15D: 2.6% 30D: 4.4%
Model insight

Club Villa Mitre – CA Alvarado Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.92% and 4.73%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample16
Win Rate12.5%
Profit-7.93u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSGuayaquil City - Club Atletico Libertad4.182.78%
LOSSAthletico Paranaense - Bragantino4.193.92%
LOSSFalkenbergs FF - Norrby IF3.853.92%
WINOsasuna - Al Ain SCC4.102.78%
LOSSAFC Wimbledon - Newport County4.203.92%
LOSSCSD Municipal - Cartagines3.852.78%
LOSSCD Los Chankas - Sport Boys4.073.92%
LOSSSarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U193.893.99%
Pick
2 @ 4.10
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.92% • n=146
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.73% • n=54
Start
Starts in 2h 21m
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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