Model: TIPPSH
Molde vs Tromso
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.11
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 5h 54m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 19m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Molde. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: MoldeGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.131 | A: 0.161Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
31/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.33First seen
Current2.23Now
Max odds2.33Highest point
Min odds2.23Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
MoldeHOME
VS
TromsoAWAY
LDWLD
Recent form
WWWLL
Avg goals scored
2.20
2.80
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.40
Shots on target for
8.20
7.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
2.60
Home splitD-L-L-W-W2.40 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-W-D3.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Eliteserien (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.11
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -15.5%
7D: -17.1%
15D: 1.9%
30D: 4.6%
Model insight
Molde – Tromso Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample593
Win Rate48.1%
Profit-4.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - University NSW U20 | 2.20 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Tauro FC Reserves - San Martin FC | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Dukla Praha B - Kraluv Dvur | 2.13 | 1.31% |
| WIN | FK Teplice B - SK Sokol Brozany | 1.87 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Tigre U20 - Racing Club U20 | 2.21 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Newell's U20 - San Lorenzo U20 | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | SV Donau Klagenfurt - SVG Bleiburg | 1.95 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | First Vienna FC 1894 - FC Liefering | 2.25 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Yokohama FC - Jubilo Iwata | 1 | 2.05 | 1.04% | 16 Aug 11:00 |
| SK Sturm Graz (W) - FC Salzburg (W) | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 16 Aug 12:45 |
| Ingulets Petrovo - Nyva Ternopil | 1 | 2.10 | 1.04% | 16 Aug 13:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.11
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 5h 54m
Updated
Updated 5h 19m ago