Model: TIPPSA

Dungannon Swifts Reserves vs Linfield Reserves

PREDICTION

@ 4.40

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 17, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultWIN0 - 1

StartStarted 57m ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Linfield Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Linfield ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.011

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.55First seen

Current4.91Now

Max odds4.91Highest point

Min odds1.55Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Dungannon Swifts ReservesHOME

Linfield ReservesAWAY

LWL

Recent form

WDWW

Avg goals scored

2.00

3.25

Defensive weakness

2.67

1.00

Shots on target for

3.33

11.00

SoT conceded pressure

8.00

3.50

Home splitL-L1.00 scored / 4.00 conceded

Away splitW1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.40. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Northern Ireland Reserve League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd4.40

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Linfield Reserves shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Linfield Reserves is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -14.2% 7D: -22.6% 15D: -4.1% 30D: 0.9%

Model insight

Dungannon Swifts Reserves – Linfield Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

2 @ 4.40

Kickoff

Ago 17, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 57m ago

Updated

Updated 3h 11m ago