Vitesse – Almere City FC

Model: TIPPSH

Vitesse vs Almere City FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.25
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 20h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11h 2m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vitesse. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: VitesseGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.045 | A: -0.030

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.59Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

VitesseHOME
VS
Almere City FCAWAY
WDDWD
Recent form
WDLLL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.60
2.00
Shots on target for
4.00
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
5.00
Home splitD-D-W-D-D0.60 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-D0.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eerste Divisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 11.1% 7D: -13.0% 15D: -0.3% 30D: 2.9%
Model insight

Vitesse – Almere City FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample253
Win Rate43.9%
Profit-9.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSJaguares de Cordoba U19 - Barranquilla FC U192.422.49%
LOSSCesar Vallejo Reserves - Juventud Cautivo2.113.37%
WINRostov - Lokomotiv Moscow2.492.49%
LOSSFC Gagra - FC Spaeri2.302.49%
LOSSCriciuma U20 - Chapecoense U202.043.37%
LOSSKT Reykjavik (W) - Dalvik/Reynir (W)2.332.49%
LOSSTabasalu FC Charma - JK Tallinna Kalev II2.312.49%
WINMoreton City Excelsior U23 - Lions FC U232.352.49%
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Pick
1 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Starts in 2d 20h
Updated
Updated 11h 2m ago
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