Model: TipA1

Moreirense U23 vs Famalicao U23

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 19, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3h 54m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7h 37m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Famalicao U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Famalicao U23Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.107

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.29Now

Max odds2.29Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Moreirense U23HOME

Famalicao U23AWAY

N/A

Recent form

DLWWW

Avg goals scored

N/A

2.00

Defensive weakness

N/A

2.00

Shots on target for

N/A

7.60

SoT conceded pressure

N/A

3.80

Home splitN/AN/A scored / N/A conceded

Away splitW-W-L1.67 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.02% based on n=648 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal U23 League (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.25

V2 BandLOWROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 23.3% 7D: -11.6% 15D: -0.2% 30D: 3.1%

Model insight

Moreirense U23 – Famalicao U23 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.02% across 648 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample115

Win Rate47.8%

Profit+12.52u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Morecambe - South Shields	2.38	1.02%
WIN	Shenzhen Peng City U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U20	2.20	1.03%
WIN	Radnik Bijeljina - Zrinjski Mostar	2.00	1.03%
LOSS	SK Kosmonosy - SK Vysoke Myto	2.50	1.02%
LOSS	Ullern - FK Union Carl Berner	2.10	1.03%
LOSS	Hellerup IK - FA 2000	2.40	1.02%
WIN	Gladesville Ravens (W) - Hills United FC (W)	2.20	1.03%
LOSS	NK Varazdin - HNK Rijeka	2.10	1.03%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City SC	2	2.00	1.03%	20 Aug 02:00
KI Klaksvik - Riga FC	2	2.00	1.03%	20 Aug 18:00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) - Throttur Reykjavik (W)	2	2.38	1.02%	21 Aug 20:00
Ilkeston - Cleethorpes Town	2	2.38	1.02%	22 Aug 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Ago 19, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.02% • n=648

Start

Starts in 3h 54m

Updated

Updated 7h 37m ago