Model: TipA1

Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City SC

PREDICTION

@ 2.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 20, 2026 4:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 19h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.03% · n=125

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3h 27m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is St. Louis City SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: St. Louis City SCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.075 | A: -0.027

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sporting Kansas CityHOME

St. Louis City SCAWAY

LLLWL

Recent form

WDWWW

Avg goals scored

0.80

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.40

1.00

Shots on target for

3.20

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

2.20

Home splitL-W-L-W-D1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-W-L1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.03% based on n=125 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.00

V2 BandLOWROI 1.03% · n=125

V4 BandLOWROI 1.03% · n=125

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives St. Louis City SC a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. St. Louis City SC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -14.5% 7D: -17.1% 15D: 2.3% 30D: 5.6%

Model insight

Sporting Kansas City – St. Louis City SC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.03% and 1.03%. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample32

Win Rate50.0%

Profit+2.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Ullern - FK Union Carl Berner	2.10	1.03%
LOSS	Kiraly SZE - Dorogi FC	2.00	1.03%
WIN	Moreton City Excelsior - Lions FC	2.25	1.02%
WIN	CUDP Lobos - Deportivo Metalurgico	2.00	1.03%
LOSS	Blooming - Always Ready	2.15	1.03%
WIN	Fenix Reserves - Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves	2.00	1.03%
WIN	Argentino Merlo Reserves - UAI Urquiza Reserves	2.25	1.02%
LOSS	KVV Zelzate - Royal Knokke	2.00	1.03%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Gladesville Ravens (W) - Hills United FC (W)	2	2.20	1.03%	16 Aug 07:10
NK Varazdin - HNK Rijeka	2	2.10	1.03%	16 Aug 17:00
Radnik Bijeljina - Zrinjski Mostar	2	2.00	1.03%	16 Aug 21:00
Shenzhen Peng City U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U20	2	2.20	1.03%	17 Aug 13:00

Pick

2 @ 2.00

Kickoff

Ago 20, 2026 4:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.03% • n=125

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.03% • n=125

Start

Starts in 3d 19h

Updated

Updated 3h 27m ago