Aberystwyth – Llantwit Major

Model: TipTromba2H

Aberystwyth vs Llantwit Major

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.55
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultWIN5 - 1
StartStarted 22h 10m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aberystwyth. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AberystwythGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.023 | A: -0.157

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

5/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.55First seen
Current1.55Now
Max odds1.55Highest point
Min odds1.55Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AberystwythHOME
VS
Llantwit MajorAWAY
WLWDL
Recent form
LLLLL
Avg goals scored
2.40
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
3.40
Shots on target for
6.00
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
8.00
Home splitW-L-D2.67 scored / 1.67 conceded
Away splitL-L-D1.00 scored / 4.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.55. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.82% based on n=495 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.55
V2 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495
V4 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Aberystwyth showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Aberystwyth is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 28.2% 7D: -1.3% 15D: 0.7% 30D: 2.9%
Model insight

Aberystwyth – Llantwit Major Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.55. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.82% and -3.82%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample568
Win Rate64.8%
Profit+22.69u
Historical Similar Predictions
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LOSSPPJ (W) - GrIFK (W)1.53-3.38%
WINGuria Lanchkhuti - FC Iberia 1999 II1.65-3.82%
LOSSNorthern Tigers U20 - Macarthur Rams U201.73-3.38%
WINManagua FC - HYH Export Sebaco FC1.65-1.89%
WINCS Pays Vert Ostiches - Aywaille1.60-1.89%
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Pick
1 @ 1.55
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.82% • n=495
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.82% • n=495
Start
Started 22h 10m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 23h ago
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