Cardiff Draconians vs Llanelli Town
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Cardiff Draconians. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Cardiff DraconiansGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.027 | A: -0.126Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.59% based on n=207 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Historical model data adds support here, as similar ELITE selections have produced encouraging results. Cardiff Draconians is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Cardiff Draconians – Llanelli Town Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Nykobing - Naestved | 2.10 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | Hednesford - Southport | 2.00 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | Curzon Ashton - Bamber Bridge | 2.00 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | US Latina Calcio - AS Ostia Mare | 2.05 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | Slavia TU Kosice - MFK Stara Lubovna | 2.00 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | Perugia - Vis Pesaro | 2.15 | 8.59% |
| LOSS | FC Muri Gumligen - FC Solothurn | 2.00 | 8.59% |
| WIN | Balcatta FC (W) - Fremantle City FC (W) | 2.00 | 8.59% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newry City - Warrenpoint Town | 1 | 2.15 | 8.59% | 21 Aug 20:45 |
| South Melbourne - Heidelberg Utd | 1 | 2.20 | 8.59% | 23 Aug 07:30 |