Bodrum FK – Muglaspor

Model: TipA1

Bodrum FK vs Muglaspor

PREDICTION
2
@ 5.50
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 5h
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.75% · n=12
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.75% · n=12
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 27m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Muglaspor. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MuglasporGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.013 | A: -0.083

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

68/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.71First seen
Current5.50Now
Max odds5.50Highest point
Min odds4.51Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bodrum FKHOME
VS
MuglasporAWAY
DLLWW
Recent form
DLDDW
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.60
Shots on target for
3.20
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.80
3.00
Home splitL-W-W-L-D0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-W-L1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 5.50. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.75% based on n=12 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Türkiye 1 Lig (tr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd5.50
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.75% · n=12
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.75% · n=12
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Muglaspor as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 22.4% 7D: 15.3% 15D: 2.5% 30D: 2.9%
Model insight

Bodrum FK – Muglaspor Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 5.50. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.75% and 5.75%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample5
Win Rate20.0%
Profit+0.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSDukla Praha - Arsenal Ceska Lipa5.505.75%
LOSSThitsar Arman FC (W) - Young Lionesses FC (W)5.255.75%
WINKuching City U20 - Johor Darul Ta'zim III U205.505.75%
LOSSMarica RJ - Perolas Negras5.505.75%
LOSSHartberg - Admira Wacker5.505.75%
Pick
2 @ 5.50
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.75% • n=12
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.75% • n=12
Start
Starts in 1d 5h
Updated
Updated 27m ago
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