Ogre United vs FK Jelgava
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Ogre United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Ogre UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.161 | A: -0.043Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.50. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 13.35% based on n=48 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Ogre United has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Ogre United – FK Jelgava Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Spalding United - Macclesfield | 3.27 | 8.08% |
| LOSS | FK Arsenal - Buducnost Podgorica | 3.36 | 8.08% |
| LOSS | JK Trans Narva - Paide Linnameeskond | 3.30 | 13.35% |
| WIN | Stirling - Cove Rangers | 3.38 | 8.08% |
| LOSS | Sochaux - St Etienne | 3.62 | 8.08% |
| WIN | Rodina Moscow - Rubin Kazan | 3.30 | 8.08% |
| LOSS | Exeter - Bristol City | 3.26 | 8.08% |
| WIN | SK Olympia Rajecko - Zdar nad Sazavou | 3.30 | 13.35% |