Model: TipA1

Club Atletico Progreso vs CA River Plate

PREDICTION

@ 3.20

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 26, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 15h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.48% · n=403

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CA River Plate. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CA River PlateGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.048 | A: 0.059

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Club Atletico ProgresoHOME

CA River PlateAWAY

LLLWL

Recent form

WWLDW

Avg goals scored

0.40

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.80

Shots on target for

3.40

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

2.00

Home splitL-W-L-L-L0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-L-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.20. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.48% based on n=403 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Cup (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.20

V2 BandLOWROI 0.48% · n=403

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for CA River Plate. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 38.1% 7D: 17.9% 15D: 1.8% 30D: 3.7%

Model insight

Club Atletico Progreso – CA River Plate Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.48% across 403 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample55

Win Rate29.1%

Profit-4.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Itagui Leones - Real Soacha Cundinamarca	3.10	0.48%
WIN	Coban Imperial - Antigua GFC	3.30	1.91%
LOSS	Cucuta Deportivo - Internacional de Bogota	3.30	1.91%
LOSS	Spakenburg - Katwijk	3.00	0.48%
LOSS	Columbus Crew II - New York City FC II	3.10	0.48%
WIN	Havant and W - Uxbridge	3.25	1.91%
LOSS	Papai Perutz - 1908 SZAC Budapest	3.20	0.48%
WIN	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia - Gloria Bistrita	3.30	1.91%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Modbury Jets Reserves - Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves	2	3.00	0.48%	21 Aug 07:00
Veszprem FC - Szombathelyi Haladas	2	3.00	0.48%	22 Aug 16:30
CD Marathon - Real Espana	2	3.00	0.48%	23 Aug 23:00

Pick

2 @ 3.20

Kickoff

Ago 26, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.48% • n=403

Start

Starts in 4d 15h

Updated

Updated 9m ago