Island Bay United vs Wellington Phoenix Reserves
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Island Bay United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Island Bay UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.004 | A: 0.029Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.25. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.81% based on n=117 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Central League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Island Bay United. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Island Bay United's attacking profile.
Island Bay United – Wellington Phoenix Reserves Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Al-Ula - Al Fateh SC | 3.40 | 9.25% |
| WIN | Polisi Tanzania FC - JKT Tanzania | 3.25 | 9.25% |
| LOSS | CSM Slatina - ACS Sepsi | 3.30 | 8.81% |
| WIN | Sparta Brno - TJ Sokol Lanzhot | 3.25 | 8.81% |
| LOSS | Kolos Kovalivka II - Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 3.40 | 8.81% |
| LOSS | EC Juventude - Atletico Mineiro | 3.25 | 8.81% |
| WIN | Paredes - Lusitania Lourosa | 3.10 | 13.12% |
| LOSS | Lyngby - AGF Aarhus | 3.40 | 8.81% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol B - Gimnastic | 1 | 3.25 | 8.81% | 22 Aug 10:30 |
| Lillehammer - Strommen | 1 | 3.20 | 13.12% | 22 Aug 15:00 |
| Coagh Utd - Portstewart | 1 | 3.40 | 8.81% | 22 Aug 16:00 |