Leixoes vs UD Leiria
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Leixoes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: LeixoesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.009 | A: -0.078Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Segunda Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Leixoes has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Leixoes – UD Leiria Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Lazio (W) - Napoli (W) | 2.43 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Gyor Eto FC (W) - Puskas FC (W) | 2.60 | 2.49% |
| WIN | EPS - HJS | 2.32 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Wil 1900 - Kriens | 2.17 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Stockton Town - Alfreton Town | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Bury Town - Leamington | 2.15 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Molde FK (W) - LSK Kvinner (W) | 2.42 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) - SK Sturm Graz (W) | 2.40 | 3.15% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional de Bogota - Deportivo Pasto | 1 | 2.12 | 3.37% | 28 Aug 03:15 |
| Etoile Carouge - FC Rapperswil-Jona | 1 | 2.16 | 3.37% | 28 Aug 20:15 |