Etoile Carouge – FC Rapperswil-Jona

Model: TIPPSH

Etoile Carouge vs FC Rapperswil-Jona

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.16
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 28, 2026 10:15 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4d 11h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Etoile Carouge. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Etoile CarougeGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.013 | A: -0.042

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Etoile CarougeHOME
VS
FC Rapperswil-JonaAWAY
DWLDW
Recent form
LWLWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.40
Defensive weakness
0.40
2.20
Shots on target for
4.60
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
6.60
Home splitL-W-D-D-L1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-D-W2.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.16. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Challenge League (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.16
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Etoile Carouge a useful statistical edge. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Etoile Carouge is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 36.7% 7D: 31.3% 15D: 5.5% 30D: 6.6%
Model insight

Etoile Carouge – FC Rapperswil-Jona Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample350
Win Rate45.4%
Profit-15.99u
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Pick
1 @ 2.16
Kickoff
Ago 28, 2026 10:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Starts in 4d 11h
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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