Baerum – Mjondalen

Model: TIPPSH

Baerum vs Mjondalen

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.33
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 9d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.21% · n=43
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.21% · n=43
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Baerum. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BaerumGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.087 | A: 0.051

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

69/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds6.50First seen
Current4.90Now
Max odds7.25Highest point
Min odds4.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BaerumHOME
VS
MjondalenAWAY
WWWLW
Recent form
LWWLW
Avg goals scored
4.60
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.80
Shots on target for
8.00
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
3.60
Home splitW-W-W-W-W5.40 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-W-L1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.33. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.21% based on n=43 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Cup (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.33
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.21% · n=43
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.21% · n=43
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Baerum shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Baerum is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 26.1% 7D: 16.5% 15D: 1.7% 30D: 2.9%
Model insight

Baerum – Mjondalen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.21% and 7.21%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample5
Win Rate20.0%
Profit-0.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAvispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe4.257.21%
LOSSDebreceni VSC - FC Copenhagen4.205.87%
LOSSGuangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan4.115.87%
LOSSRagsveds IF - Enkopings SK4.205.56%
Pick
1 @ 4.33
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.21% • n=43
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.21% • n=43
Start
Started 9d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 7h ago
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