Model: TipTromba5H

Singida Black Stars vs Simba Sports Club

PREDICTION

@ 4.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 1d 4h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.25% · n=123

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.25% · n=123

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Singida Black Stars. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Singida Black StarsGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.147 | A: 0.120

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

67/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.50First seen

Current4.66Now

Max odds4.66Highest point

Min odds4.50Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Singida Black StarsHOME

Simba Sports ClubAWAY

LDWLW

Recent form

WWWLW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

0.80

Shots on target for

3.60

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

2.60

Home splitL-W-L-L-W1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-L-W1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.25% based on n=123 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Tanzania Premier League (tz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.50

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.25% · n=123

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.25% · n=123

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 34.0% 7D: 23.5% 15D: 4.2% 30D: 4.4%

Model insight

Singida Black Stars – Simba Sports Club Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.25% and 6.25%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample41

Win Rate24.4%

Profit+4.50u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Gzira United - Valletta	4.50	6.25%
WIN	Karlbergs BK - IK Brage	4.50	6.25%
LOSS	Maccabi Herzliya U19 - Hapoel Tel Aviv U19	4.75	7.69%
LOSS	Hajdunanas FK - Kisvarda II	4.75	7.69%
LOSS	Cavese - Juve Stabia	4.75	7.69%
LOSS	Gimnastica Segoviana - Valladolid	4.75	7.69%
LOSS	Burkina Faso (W) - South Africa (W)	4.50	6.25%
LOSS	TJ Dvorniky - Vcelare - Spartak Medzev	4.50	6.25%

Pick

1 @ 4.50

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.25% • n=123

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.25% • n=123

Start

Started 1d 4h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 6h ago