Supra du Quebec – Forge FC

Model: TipTromba35H

Supra du Quebec vs Forge FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.40
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 29, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 22h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Supra du Quebec. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Supra du QuebecGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.107 | A: 0.009

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.80First seen
Current3.40Now
Max odds3.80Highest point
Min odds3.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Supra du QuebecHOME
VS
Forge FCAWAY
DLLDD
Recent form
WWLLD
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.20
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.00
Shots on target for
6.40
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
2.60
Home splitL-D-L-W-L1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-D-W1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.40. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Canada Premier League (ca). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.40
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Supra du Quebec has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 34.5% 7D: 32.3% 15D: 6.4% 30D: 9.1%
Model insight

Supra du Quebec – Forge FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample164
Win Rate28.7%
Profit-7.73u
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WINFlamengo SP U20 - Capivariano U203.403.56%
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WINHapoel Afula - MS Ashdod3.404.14%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Monza - Udinese13.443.56%29 Aug 18:30
Pick
1 @ 3.40
Kickoff
Ago 29, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Starts in 1d 22h
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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