Flamengo SP U20 – Capivariano U20

Model: TIPPSH

Flamengo SP U20 vs Capivariano U20

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.21
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 19h 9m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 21h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Flamengo SP U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Flamengo SP U20Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.049 | A: 0.143

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.40First seen
Current3.21Now
Max odds3.40Highest point
Min odds2.99Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Flamengo SP U20HOME
VS
Capivariano U20AWAY
WLDLW
Recent form
LDLWW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.00
Shots on target for
5.80
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
4.80
Home splitW-D-W-D-L0.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-L-D1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.21. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.21
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Flamengo SP U20's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 52.4% 7D: 3.6% 15D: 1.5% 30D: 3.4%
Model insight

Flamengo SP U20 – Capivariano U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample27
Win Rate48.1%
Profit+12.68u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSUSV Gnas - Ilzer SV2.984.53%
WINIBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) - Stjarnan (W)3.224.53%
LOSSKFC Komarno - Dunajska Streda3.194.53%
WINEintracht Norderstedt - Kickers Emden3.224.53%
WINCrusaders - Ballymena Utd2.964.53%
WINOaxaca - Tepatitlan FC3.024.53%
LOSSCruzeiro - Flamengo3.124.53%
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Pick
1 @ 3.21
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Started 19h 9m ago
Updated
Updated 21h 11m ago
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