Guairena FC – 12 de Octubre

Model: TIPPSA

Guairena FC vs 12 de Octubre

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 27, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 2
StartStarted 4d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.70% · n=151
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.70% · n=151
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is 12 de Octubre. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: 12 de OctubreGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.036 | A: 0.018

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

62/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.75First seen
Current3.80Now
Max odds4.53Highest point
Min odds3.15Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Guairena FCHOME
VS
12 de OctubreAWAY
WDLLD
Recent form
LWWWD
Avg goals scored
0.80
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
3.60
8.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
5.00
Home splitW-L-D-L-L0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-W-W2.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.70% based on n=151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Cup (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.00
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.70% · n=151
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.70% · n=151
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to 12 de Octubre's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 28.9% 7D: 34.1% 15D: 9.0% 30D: 9.5%
Model insight

Guairena FC – 12 de Octubre Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.70% and 7.70%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample38
Win Rate36.8%
Profit+2.81u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFH Hafnarfjordur - Keflavik2.787.70%
LOSSKyoto Sanga FC - Avispa Fukuoka2.817.70%
WINPetone FC - Island Bay United2.947.70%
LOSSXelaju - CD Luis Angel Firpo3.197.70%
LOSSSambenedettese - Forli2.907.70%
LOSSHapoel Beer Sheva - Sabah3.237.70%
WINKonyaspor - Caykur Rizespor3.057.70%
LOSSAritma Praha - Povltavska FA3.237.70%
Pick
2 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Ago 27, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.70% • n=151
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.70% • n=151
Start
Started 4d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 13h ago
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