Sambenedettese vs Forli
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Forli. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ForliGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.076 | A: -0.012Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.12. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.70% based on n=151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie C Group B (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Forli's attacking profile.
Sambenedettese – Forli Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Xelaju - CD Luis Angel Firpo | 3.19 | 7.70% |
| LOSS | Hapoel Beer Sheva - Sabah | 3.23 | 7.70% |
| WIN | Konyaspor - Caykur Rizespor | 3.05 | 7.70% |
| LOSS | Aritma Praha - Povltavska FA | 3.23 | 7.70% |
| LOSS | Randers FC - Lyngby | 3.04 | 7.70% |
| LOSS | Hradec Kralove - Pardubice | 3.20 | 7.70% |
| LOSS | Ararat Armenia - Shamrock Rovers | 3.00 | 7.70% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma | 2.94 | 6.31% |