At. Pueblonuevo – CD Badajoz

Model: TipTromba12H

At. Pueblonuevo vs CD Badajoz

PREDICTION
1
@ 9.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 30, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 5
StartStarted 3d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=38
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is At. Pueblonuevo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: At. PueblonuevoGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.044

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds6.50First seen
Current9.50Now
Max odds10.50Highest point
Min odds6.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

At. PueblonuevoHOME
VS
CD BadajozAWAY
LWDWL
Recent form
WWDLD
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.00
Shots on target for
1.00
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
11.00
2.40
Home splitL-W-W-W-W1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-W-D-W-L2.00 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 9.50. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.41% based on n=38 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd9.50
V2 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=38
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -14.2% 7D: 6.8% 15D: 11.0% 30D: 8.8%
Model insight

At. Pueblonuevo – CD Badajoz Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 9.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.41% across 38 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate11.1%
Profit+1.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFrigg - Kjelsås9.501.41%
LOSSVerdes FC - CSD Municipal9.501.41%
LOSSCraigavon City (W) - Bangor FC (W)9.501.41%
LOSSVfB Homberg - Fortuna Dusseldorf II9.501.41%
LOSSCleveland Force - Steel City9.501.41%
LOSSFC Rapperswil-Jona - Basel9.501.41%
WINAIK (W) - BK Hacken (W)9.501.41%
WINFlamengo de Sucre - Nacional Sucre9.501.41%
Pick
1 @ 9.50
Kickoff
Ago 30, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=38
Start
Started 3d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 16h ago
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