Model: TipA1

Smederevo vs Javor Ivanjica

PREDICTION

@ 2.30

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 05, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 3

StartStarted 3d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Javor Ivanjica. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Javor IvanjicaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.081 | A: 0.069

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SmederevoHOME

Javor IvanjicaAWAY

LDDDW

Recent form

WWDWL

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.00

Shots on target for

5.00

6.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

4.00

Home splitL-D-W-W-D2.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-D-D-L-D1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.30. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.02% based on n=648 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Serbia Prva Liga (rs). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.30

V2 BandLOWROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Javor Ivanjica's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 27.2% 7D: 9.5% 15D: 14.7% 30D: 7.5%

Model insight

Smederevo – Javor Ivanjica Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.02% across 648 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample140

Win Rate47.9%

Profit+18.68u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Gateshead - Derby U21	2.55	1.02%
LOSS	Ulsan HD - FC Seoul	2.05	1.03%
LOSS	Real Calepina FC - Pro Palazzo	2.38	1.02%
WIN	MFK Zemplin Michalovce U19 - ZP Sport Podbrezova U19	2.25	1.02%
LOSS	Gaborone United - Young Africans	2.10	1.03%
LOSS	Unia Tarnow - Orzel Ryczow	2.05	1.03%
WIN	Puebla U19 - Toluca U19	2.30	1.02%
WIN	Colchester U21 - Barnsley U21	2.05	1.03%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Samgurali - Dila Gori	2	2.25	1.02%	09 Sep 17:00
Independiente Santa Fe (W) - Deportivo Cali (W)	2	2.05	1.03%	09 Sep 22:00

Pick

2 @ 2.30

Kickoff

Set 05, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.02% • n=648

Start

Started 3d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 3d 21h ago