Model: TIPPSA

Real Calepina FC vs Pro Palazzo

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 06, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultLOSS5 - 1

StartStarted 1d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=132

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pro Palazzo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Pro PalazzoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.087 | A: -0.089

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.42First seen

Current2.30Now

Max odds2.42Highest point

Min odds2.30Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Real Calepina FCHOME

Pro PalazzoAWAY

WWWDL

Recent form

LWLDL

Avg goals scored

2.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.80

2.00

Shots on target for

4.00

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

2.80

Home splitW-W-D-D-W2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-W1.00 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.63% based on n=132 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie D (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.20

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.63% · n=132

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 0.8% 7D: 5.3% 15D: 10.2% 30D: 6.3%

Model insight

Real Calepina FC – Pro Palazzo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 132 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample180

Win Rate45.6%

Profit+2.96u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	AD Nogueirense - UD da Serra	2.17	2.63%
WIN	Hviti Riddarinn - Kormakur/Hvot	2.28	4.13%
LOSS	Orkla - NTNUI	2.10	2.63%
LOSS	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	2.42	4.13%
WIN	Gil Vicente U23 - Rio Ave U23	2.34	4.13%
WIN	Hull U21 - Swansea U21	2.15	2.63%
WIN	Asyut Petroleum - National Bank	2.26	4.13%
WIN	Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Always Ready	2.07	2.63%

Pick

2 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Set 06, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=132

Start

Started 1d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 21h ago