Model: TIPPSA

Hviti Riddarinn vs Kormakur/Hvot

PREDICTION

@ 2.31

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 05, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 4

StartStarted 3d 12h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kormakur/Hvot. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kormakur/HvotGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.069 | A: -0.178

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.28First seen

Current2.31Now

Max odds2.31Highest point

Min odds2.28Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hviti RiddarinnHOME

Kormakur/HvotAWAY

LDLLL

Recent form

WLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

Defensive weakness

4.20

3.00

Shots on target for

3.40

5.80

SoT conceded pressure

9.40

5.40

Home splitL-D-L-W-L1.60 scored / 3.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-D-D1.20 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.31. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 2 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.31

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Kormakur/Hvot's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 1.6% 7D: 4.8% 15D: 11.8% 30D: 6.9%

Model insight

Hviti Riddarinn – Kormakur/Hvot Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.31. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample200

Win Rate43.5%

Profit+1.94u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	AD Nogueirense - UD da Serra	2.17	2.63%
LOSS	Orkla - NTNUI	2.10	2.63%
LOSS	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	2.42	4.13%
WIN	Gil Vicente U23 - Rio Ave U23	2.34	4.13%
WIN	Hull U21 - Swansea U21	2.15	2.63%
WIN	Asyut Petroleum - National Bank	2.26	4.13%
WIN	Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Always Ready	2.07	2.63%
LOSS	Hartberg - SV Ried	2.50	4.13%

Pick

2 @ 2.31

Kickoff

Set 05, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 3d 12h ago

Updated

Updated 3d 14h ago