Curico Unido – Union Espanola

Model: TIPPSH

Curico Unido vs Union Espanola

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.93
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 09, 2026 3:30 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 1d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Curico Unido. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Curico UnidoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.095 | A: -0.055

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.93Now
Max odds3.10Highest point
Min odds2.36Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Curico UnidoHOME
VS
Union EspanolaAWAY
WLDWL
Recent form
LDLLW
Avg goals scored
0.80
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.40
Shots on target for
5.40
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
6.60
Home splitW-D-W-L-D1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-W-W0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.93. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.37% based on n=266 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Primera B (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.93
V2 BandNONEROI -2.37% · n=266
V4 BandNONEROI -2.37% · n=266
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Curico Unido has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Curico Unido's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -5.8% 7D: 5.6% 15D: 4.5% 30D: 5.5%
Model insight

Curico Unido – Union Espanola Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -2.37% and -2.37%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample70
Win Rate35.7%
Profit+2.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSVolgar G Astrakhan - FK Volga Ulyanovsk2.93-2.37%
LOSSFardu Ferghana - FK Orol Nukus2.84-2.37%
WINKVV Thes Sport - Royal Knokke3.11-1.00%
WINBandeirante - Uniao Sao Joao2.75-2.37%
WINStockport U21 - Stoke U213.00-2.37%
WINCharlton U21 - Leeds U212.75-2.37%
LOSSChindia Targoviste - FC Voluntari3.12-2.37%
LOSSACS Sepsi - CFR Cluj2.90-2.37%
Pick
1 @ 2.93
Kickoff
Set 09, 2026 3:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.37% • n=266
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.37% • n=266
Start
Started 1d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 5h ago
Torna in alto