Barquisimeto – Caracas

Model: TipTromba5H

Barquisimeto vs Caracas

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 10, 2026 1:30 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 5
StartStarted 5h 29m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.67% · n=99
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.67% · n=99
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Barquisimeto. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BarquisimetoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.002 | A: 0.089

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BarquisimetoHOME
VS
CaracasAWAY
LWLDL
Recent form
WWDDW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.20
0.40
Shots on target for
4.80
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
2.60
Home splitL-W-D-W-W2.40 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-D-W-W2.00 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.67% based on n=99 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Venezuela Cup (ve). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.75
V2 BandNONEROI -0.67% · n=99
V4 BandNONEROI -0.67% · n=99
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -5.8% 7D: 5.6% 15D: 4.5% 30D: 5.5%
Model insight

Barquisimeto – Caracas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.67% and -0.67%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample50
Win Rate12.0%
Profit-21.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAtlante (W) - Juarez FC (W)4.75-0.67%
LOSSBolton - West Ham4.75-1.13%
LOSSAFC Fylde Women - Liverpool Feds (W)4.75-1.13%
LOSSDanubio - Penarol4.75-0.67%
LOSSRathfriland Rangers - Institute4.75-0.67%
LOSSHapoel Bnei Jat United - Hapoel Ironi Karmiel4.75-1.13%
LOSSAtlantico FC - Cibao FC4.75-1.13%
LOSSOrsomarso (W) - America de Cali (W)4.75-0.67%
Pick
1 @ 4.75
Kickoff
Set 10, 2026 1:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.67% • n=99
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.67% • n=99
Start
Started 5h 29m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 6h ago
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