22 de Julio – Atletico FC Guayaquil

Model: TIPPSH

22 de Julio vs Atletico FC Guayaquil

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 10, 2026 12:30 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 47d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=113
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=113
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is 22 de Julio. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: 22 de JulioGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

67/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.76Now
Max odds3.90Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

22 de JulioHOME
VS
Atletico FC GuayaquilAWAY
LLWLL
Recent form
WDLWD
Avg goals scored
0.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.00
Shots on target for
1.40
1.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
3.40
Home splitL-W-L-L-D0.40 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-D-D0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.70. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.69% based on n=113 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie B (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.70
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=113
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=113
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -26.0% 7D: -3.3% 15D: 0.3% 30D: 13.1%
Model insight

22 de Julio – Atletico FC Guayaquil Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.69% and 7.69%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample6
Win Rate16.7%
Profit-2.18u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk3.945.87%
LOSSLyn 1896 U19 - Molde U193.905.87%
WINHUSA Agadir - RSB Berkane3.825.87%
LOSSEl Salvador (W) - Costa Rica (W)3.707.69%
LOSSClub 9 de Octubre - Manta FC3.707.69%
LOSSWil 1900 - FC Vaduz3.606.76%
Pick
1 @ 3.70
Kickoff
Giu 10, 2026 12:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.69% • n=113
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.69% • n=113
Start
Started 47d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 3h ago
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