Hudson Valley Crusaders (W) vs New England Mutiny (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is New England Mutiny (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: New England Mutiny (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.70% based on n=81 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL W-League Women (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to New England Mutiny (W)'s attacking profile.
Hudson Valley Crusaders (W) – New England Mutiny (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Dover - Burgess Hill Town | 3.75 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | Watford - Hansa Rostock | 3.75 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Brusque - Ituano | 3.80 | 4.37% |
| WIN | Barra Mansa - Buzios | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Naestved - FC Helsingor | 3.75 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | LASK Linz - Fortuna Dusseldorf | 3.90 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) - Gold Coast United (W) | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Ipswich FC - North Star | 4.20 | 4.73% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Manucci - Club Ada Jaen | 2 | 3.80 | 2.27% | 02 Aug 22:00 |
| FC Dallas - Queretaro | 2 | 4.20 | 4.37% | 06 Aug 02:30 |