Model: TipTromba12H

AC Libertas vs SS Virtus

PREDICTION

@ 11.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 26, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 9

StartStarted 130d 17h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.18% · n=37

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 131d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is AC Libertas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AC LibertasGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds11.00First seen

Current11.50Now

Max odds11.50Highest point

Min odds11.00Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AC LibertasHOME

SS VirtusAWAY

LLLW

Recent form

WWWD

Avg goals scored

0.50

5.00

Defensive weakness

3.75

0.75

Shots on target for

2.00

7.00

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

Home splitL-L-W0.67 scored / 4.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-D5.33 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 11.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.18% based on n=37 historical similar picks. The match belongs to San Marino Campionato (sm). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd11.00

V2 BandLOWROI 1.18% · n=37

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 35.8% 7D: 9.1% 15D: 13.0% 30D: 17.9%

Model insight

AC Libertas – SS Virtus Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 11.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.18% across 37 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample18

Win Rate11.1%

Profit+4.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Hong Kong U20 - Qatar U20	11.00	1.00%
LOSS	Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Gornik Leczna (W)	11.00	1.00%
LOSS	Keilor Park (W) - Box Hill (W)	11.00	1.00%
LOSS	NK Brezice U19 - NK Maribor U19	11.00	1.00%
LOSS	Rec de Huelva - Real Betis	11.00	1.00%
WIN	Gutersloh 2000 - Schalke	11.00	1.00%
LOSS	KAC 1909 - Austria Klagenfurt	11.00	1.00%
LOSS	Switzerland U19 (W) - Spain U19 (W)	11.00	1.00%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
AS Port - El Zamalek	1	11.00	0.27%	04 Sep 19:00

Pick

1 @ 11.00

Kickoff

Apr 26, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.18% • n=37

Start

Started 130d 17h ago

Updated

Updated 131d 2h ago