Lech Poznan UAM (W) – Gornik Leczna (W)

Model: TipTromba12H

Lech Poznan UAM (W) vs Gornik Leczna (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 11.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 3
StartStarted 15h 37m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.00% · n=38
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lech Poznan UAM (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lech Poznan UAM (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.148 | A: -0.050

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds11.00First seen
Current12.20Now
Max odds12.20Highest point
Min odds11.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lech Poznan UAM (W)HOME
VS
Gornik Leczna (W)AWAY
LLLWW
Recent form
WWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
3.60
Defensive weakness
2.60
0.40
Shots on target for
4.80
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
1.00
Home splitL-L-W-L-D0.80 scored / 2.80 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-L-W3.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 11.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.00% based on n=38 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland Ekstraliga Women (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd11.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.00% · n=38
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 18.0% 7D: 7.8% 15D: 2.4% 30D: 2.9%
Model insight

Lech Poznan UAM (W) – Gornik Leczna (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 11.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.00% across 38 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample17
Win Rate11.8%
Profit+5.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKeilor Park (W) - Box Hill (W)11.001.00%
LOSSNK Brezice U19 - NK Maribor U1911.001.00%
LOSSRec de Huelva - Real Betis11.001.00%
WINGutersloh 2000 - Schalke11.001.00%
LOSSKAC 1909 - Austria Klagenfurt11.001.00%
LOSSSwitzerland U19 (W) - Spain U19 (W)11.001.00%
LOSSNippon Steel Oita - MHI Nagasaki11.001.00%
LOSSJacobina EC - Fluminense De Feira11.001.00%
Pick
1 @ 11.00
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.00% • n=38
Start
Started 15h 37m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 4h ago
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