AD Ceuta FC – Albacete

Model: TipTromba3H

AD Ceuta FC vs Albacete

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 6:15 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 48d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.03% · n=612
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is AD Ceuta FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AD Ceuta FC

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.50Now
Max odds2.50Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AD Ceuta FCHOME
VS
AlbaceteAWAY
WWLDW
Recent form
LWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.80
Shots on target for
5.20
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
5.80
Home splitW-L-D-D-D0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-L1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.03% based on n=612 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.50
V2 BandLOWROI 0.03% · n=612
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 2.6% 7D: 8.3% 15D: 22.4% 30D: 8.9%
Model insight

AD Ceuta FC – Albacete Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.03% across 612 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample46
Win Rate30.4%
Profit-9.39u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSDe Graafschap - Telstar2.700.03%
WINSao Goncalo - Volta Redonda2.750.71%
LOSSFC Salzburg - Istanbul Basaksehir2.630.03%
LOSSSt Patricks - Doncaster2.700.03%
LOSSFC Bulle - Stade Nyonnais2.500.03%
WINMKS Kluczbork - Zaglebie Sosnowiec2.630.03%
LOSSDeportivo Armenio U20 - CS Dock Sud U202.550.03%
LOSSRFS II - SK Super Nova II2.700.03%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
EBK - P-Iirot12.550.03%18 Jul 16:00
AB Copenhagen - B93 Copenhagen12.630.03%18 Jul 16:00
Pick
1 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 6:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.03% • n=612
Start
Started 48d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 21h ago
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