Adamstown Rosebud (W) – Lake Macquarie (W)

Model: TipTromba35H

Adamstown Rosebud (W) vs Lake Macquarie (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.40
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 28, 2026 10:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 19h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Adamstown Rosebud (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Adamstown Rosebud (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Adamstown Rosebud (W)HOME
VS
Lake Macquarie (W)AWAY
WLWDL
Recent form
WLLDW
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.40
1.60
Shots on target for
4.20
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
4.40
Home splitW-W-L-W-L2.80 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitD-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.40. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.40
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -29.5% 7D: -28.9% 15D: -12.5% 30D: -2.5%
Model insight

Adamstown Rosebud (W) – Lake Macquarie (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample101
Win Rate28.7%
Profit-4.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSPaisley Athletic (W) - Long Island Rough Riders Women3.254.14%
LOSSSkjetten - Alta3.304.14%
LOSSSlovan Bratislava B - AS Trencin3.203.85%
LOSSInter Miami CF II - Carolina Core FC3.254.14%
LOSSKingborough Lions - South Hobart3.254.14%
WINMogi Mirim U23 - Santacruzense U233.254.14%
LOSSBonsucesso FC - Resende RJ3.254.14%
LOSSKumu - KoPa3.403.56%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Eastern United Reserves - Cumberland United Reserves13.404.14%27 Jun 04:30
Pick
1 @ 3.40
Kickoff
Giu 28, 2026 10:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Starts in 2d 19h
Updated
Updated 11m ago
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