Model: TipTromba45H

AFC Eskilstuna vs IK Oddevold

PREDICTION

@ 4.20

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 18, 2026 8:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 19h 41m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=258

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is AFC Eskilstuna. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AFC EskilstunaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.122 | A: 0.029

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.20First seen

Current4.40Now

Max odds4.46Highest point

Min odds4.20Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AFC EskilstunaHOME

IK OddevoldAWAY

WWWWD

Recent form

DWDDL

Avg goals scored

2.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.00

Shots on target for

5.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

3.20

Home splitW-W-W-W-L1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-D-D-W1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=258 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Cup Qualification (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.20

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=258

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to AFC Eskilstuna's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -2.5% 7D: -23.3% 15D: -4.5% 30D: 1.3%

Model insight

AFC Eskilstuna – IK Oddevold Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample62

Win Rate22.6%

Profit-4.61u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Juventus Huamachuco FC - Juan Aurich	4.00	2.97%
LOSS	Biel Bienne - Aarau	4.00	2.97%
WIN	Serpa - Vitoria Setubal	4.00	4.86%
LOSS	Hope Internacional FC - AA Iguacu	4.10	4.86%
LOSS	Cesky Brod - Sokol Nespeky	4.00	2.97%
LOSS	Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves	4.00	2.97%
WIN	Dunarea Giurgiu - Cetatea Turnu Magurele	4.33	4.19%
LOSS	Polisportiva Ossese - Torres	4.20	4.86%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
C.U.N.E. - Defensores Puerto Vilelas Reserves	1	4.33	4.19%	18 Aug 20:30

Pick

1 @ 4.20

Kickoff

Ago 18, 2026 8:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=258

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.86% • n=258

Start

Starts in 19h 41m

Updated

Updated 12m ago