Model: TipTromba2H

Ahlafors IF vs IFK Kumla

PREDICTION

@ 1.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 29, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultWIN7 - 1

StartStarted 2d 1h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ahlafors IF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ahlafors IFGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.019 | A: -0.145

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.52First seen

Current1.52Now

Max odds1.52Highest point

Min odds1.52Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ahlafors IFHOME

IFK KumlaAWAY

WDWWD

Recent form

LLLWL

Avg goals scored

2.80

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

4.20

Shots on target for

9.20

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

9.40

Home splitW-W-W-D-D3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-D0.40 scored / 3.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.49% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.50

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Ahlafors IF's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -8.7% 7D: 15.1% 15D: 12.8% 30D: 10.6%

Model insight

Ahlafors IF – IFK Kumla Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.49% and 6.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample96

Win Rate68.8%

Profit+12.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Tampines Rovers FC U23 - Lion City Sailors FC U23	1.50	7.81%
WIN	Brasiliense U20 - Sobradinho U20	1.75	7.35%
WIN	FC Treaty United (W) - Bohemians Dublin (W)	1.75	6.17%
WIN	Carlos Mannucci (W) - Defensores Del Ilucan (W)	1.55	6.49%
LOSS	CA Independiente Siguatepeque Reserves - CD Choloma Reserves	1.75	6.17%
WIN	OFK Banik Lehota - FK Humenne	1.75	6.17%
WIN	Aryan FC - Rainbow AC	1.75	6.89%
WIN	Sölvesborgs GoIF - IFK Karlshamn	1.53	7.81%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Åsane Fotball 2 - Sogndal 2	1	1.53	6.49%	31 Aug 18:00
Northampton - Crawley Town	1	1.75	6.89%	01 Sep 20:45

Pick

1 @ 1.50

Kickoff

Ago 29, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.49% • n=235

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.49% • n=235

Start

Started 2d 1h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 3h ago