Model: TipA1
Ajel de Rufisque – Stade de Mbour
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 23d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=184
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 21h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Ajel de Rufisque | Stade de Mbour |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-L-W | W-D-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.75 | 0.25 |
| Home/Away form | L-W (home) | W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.50 for / 4.75 against | 4.50 for / 2.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 2.50 against (home) | 5.00 for / 2.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Stade de Mbour shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Stade de Mbour's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.28First seen
Current4.22Now
Max odds5.28Highest point
Min odds4.22Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Ajel de Rufisque – Stade de Mbour Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 184 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample23
Win Rate39.1%
Profit+12.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Johannesburg Uni (W) - Ezemvelo (W) | 4.20 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Sao Joseense - Brasil de Pelotas | 3.75 | 2.27% |
| WIN | Union Molinense CF - Olimpico Totana | 3.90 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Albacete - Real Sociedad B | 4.10 | 2.27% |
| WIN | Boston River Reserves - Central Espanol Reserves | 4.10 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Hualian (W) - AC Taipei (W) | 3.80 | 4.41% |
| WIN | San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas | 4.20 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | SalPa 2 - PiPS | 3.75 | 2.94% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Glens SC - Davis Legacy | 2 | 3.80 | 4.37% | 27 May 22:00 |
Pick
2 @ 4.00
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=184
Start
Started 23d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 21h ago