Sao Joseense vs Brasil de Pelotas
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Brasil de Pelotas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Brasil de PelotasValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.75. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.27% based on n=211 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Brasil de Pelotas has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Sao Joseense – Brasil de Pelotas Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Clermont Foot - US Orleans 45 | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| WIN | Universitatea Cluj - Nyiregyhaza Spartacus | 3.75 | 2.27% |
| WIN | Serrano - Sao Goncalo | 3.70 | 2.63% |
| WIN | FC Trinity Zlin - MFK Skalica | 3.50 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Ferroviario Lichinga - Costa Do Sol | 3.50 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Adelaide Cobras - Eastern United | 3.70 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas - CA Costa Brava | 3.80 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Bath Estate - Mighty Avengers | 4.00 | 2.27% |