Model: TipA1

Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh

PREDICTION

@ 2.50

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 16, 2026 6:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 10h 29m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1h 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al Nejmeh. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al Nejmeh

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.50First seen

Current2.60Now

Max odds2.60Highest point

Min odds2.50Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al AhedHOME

Al NejmehAWAY

DWWLW

Recent form

DWWWW

Avg goals scored

2.60

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.80

0.00

Shots on target for

5.20

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

1.00

Home splitW-W-W-L2.50 scored / 1.25 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.02% based on n=648 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lebanon League (lb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.50

V2 BandLOWROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Al Nejmeh shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -25.7% 7D: -11.5% 15D: 7.4% 30D: 14.8%

Model insight

Al Ahed – Al Nejmeh Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.02% across 648 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample110

Win Rate34.5%

Profit-17.59u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Wyvern FC - Kariya	2.50	1.02%
LOSS	Deportivo Moquegua - Deportivo Garcilaso	2.55	1.02%
LOSS	AFC Rushden & Diamonds - Milton Keynes Irish	2.70	1.02%
LOSS	St George City FA U20 - University NSW U20	2.60	1.02%
WIN	Heidelberg United (W) - Alamein FC (W)	2.25	1.02%
LOSS	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki - AS Trencin	2.40	1.02%
WIN	Universitatea Cluj - Vojvodina	2.40	1.02%
LOSS	Santacruzense U23 - America SP U23	2.60	1.02%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Tanzania Prisons - Polisi Tanzania FC	2	2.75	0.48%	16 Jul 15:00

Pick

2 @ 2.50

Kickoff

Lug 16, 2026 6:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.02% • n=648

Start

Starts in 10h 29m

Updated

Updated 1h 10m ago