Model: TIPPSH

Leon vs Atlas

PREDICTION

@ 2.06

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 18, 2026 5:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 21h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Leon. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Leon

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.99First seen

Current2.06Now

Max odds2.06Highest point

Min odds1.98Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LeonHOME

AtlasAWAY

LLWWW

Recent form

LLWDW

Avg goals scored

1.80

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.80

Shots on target for

5.20

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

4.40

Home splitL-W-W2.33 scored / 1.33 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-L0.50 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.06. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga MX (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.06

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Leon has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -25.7% 7D: -11.5% 15D: 7.4% 30D: 14.8%

Model insight

Leon – Atlas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.06. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample325

Win Rate47.1%

Profit-14.78u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FK Jablonec - FC Kharkiv	2.26	1.59%
LOSS	Caen - Paris 13 Atletico	1.98	1.31%
WIN	FC Fredericia - CD Mafra	1.81	1.04%
LOSS	Gyeongnam FC - Yeoju	1.82	1.04%
LOSS	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	1.92	1.31%
WIN	AB Copenhagen - Helsingborg	1.95	1.04%
WIN	La Luz - Tacuarembo	1.95	1.04%
WIN	Botafogo PB - AD Confianca	2.02	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.06

Kickoff

Lug 18, 2026 5:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 1d 21h

Updated

Updated 10m ago